Peace Negotiations Watch

Monday, May 16, 2005

(Volume IV, Number 18)

 

Contents:

 

Afghanistan                            

Top Suspects In Afghanistan Are Included In Amnesty

American military leader suggests two top suspects could not be in amnesty program.

More than 1,000 register for Afghan parliamentary election, but few women

Women have not registered to run for office in various provinces. 

 

Armenia/Azerbaijan   

Leaders of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Turkey hold separate talks on disputed region

Talks occur ahead of two-day Council of Europe summit.

 

Burundi/Rwanda        

U.N. official presses Burundi to move refugees from border with Rwanda

5,000 Rwandan refugees fearful of gacaca reprisals.

U.N. report accuses Burundi's new army, holdout rebels of rights abuses

Troops accused of rape and looting civilian homes.

Prospects of lasting peace strengthen as Burundi, rebels sign truce

Analyst says truce is the last step in a Burundian peace process.

 

Chechnya       

Putin Should Defuse the Chechnya Time-Bomb

Op-ed states Bush and other western leaders failed to address issue of Chechnya with Putin.

Former Chechen separatist vice president reported killed by Russian forces

Former vice president reportedly an advocate of Shariah law.

 

Congo 

Congo chooses Belgian company Zetes Pass to register voters for historic elections

Company to register and document nearly 55 million prospective voters.

Congo's legislature holds ceremony for country's new constitution

Elections must be held by June 2006.

Democratic Republic of Congo Negotiation Simulation

Click here to access the DR Congo Negotiation Simulation.

 

Georgia/Abkhazia      

Bush wins enthusiastic welcome in former Soviet republic of Georgia

Bush visit to Tbilisi a high-point in U.S./Georgia relations.

Bush treads sensitive ground with offer to help Georgia's separatist conflicts

Analyst at think-tank in Moscow believes U.S. position will not really change.

U.N. representative meeting Georgian, Abkhazian officials in Abkhazia on security issues

Meeting scheduled to take place in Gali district, area controlled by UN observers.

 

Indonesia        

Indonesia to end Aceh state of emergency, but anti-rebel operations to stay

Indonesian general says rebellion has increased since tsunami.

Tsunami rebuilding stalls survivors confront government delays, political squabbling

Only now are reconstruction agreements finally being signed.

Aceh Negotiation Simulation

Click here to access the Aceh Negotiation Simulation.

 

Ivory Coast    

Warring sides in Ivory Coast reach disarmament deal

June 27 set as date for disarmament process to begin.

 

Kashmir          

Work on power project continues in Kashmir despite World Bank intervention

Power project opposed by Pakistan, saying it violates pact.

Kashmir Negotiation Simulation

Click here to access the Kashmir Negotiation Simulation

 

Kosovo                                   

U.N. court in Kosovo sentences three former ethnic Albanian rebels for war crimes

The three were low-ranking members of the Kosovo Liberation Army.

NATO's Secretary General calls for political talks between Kosovo and Serbia

De Hoop Scheffer calls for political maturity.

Kosovo's draft constitution widens Serbia gulf

Rugova announces Kosovo is working on creating a constitution.

Kosovo Negotiation Simulation

Click here to access the Kosovo Negotiation Simulation.

 

Liberia

Ex-child soldiers rampage through northern Liberia town to protest unpaid school fees

Authorities had promised to pay school fees under disarmament campaign.

 

Macedonia     

Foreign ministers in southeast Europe discuss regional cooperation

Romanian foreign minister reminds other southeast European states that EU membership is available.

 

Moldova                                 

Moldovan prosecutors investigate arms smuggling in Russian-backed separatist region

Undercover reporter able to purchase rockets in Trans-Dniester region.

 

Nepal

Nepal's political parties demand release of all political detainees

American diplomat expresses concern over repression of civil liberties in Nepal.

Nepal Negotiation Simulation

Click here to access the Nepal Negotiation Simulation.

 

Philippines     

US wants to single out Philippine rebels tied to terror groups: ambassador

Washington does not want to disrupt peace talks.

 

Serbia & Montenegro

Is Serbia ready to host war crimes trials, experts ask

Discussion held at Belgrade Faculty of Law and organized by OSCE.

Serbian prime minister steps up campaign against independent Kosovo

Kostunica believes independence for Kosovo would destabilize region.

 

Somalia          

Somalia's parliament approves government request for peacekeepers and relocation plan

IGAD to deploy unspecified number of peacekeepers from Uganda and Sudan.

 

Sri Lanka        

Foreign aid is no problem in Sri Lanka for post-tsunami reconstruction but domestic politics could be

Funding for reconstruction apparently plentiful.

Sri Lanka says coordinating tsunami aid with rebels could bridge country's ethnic divide

Tamil rebels have complained that aid has been slow to reach them.

Sri Lanka Negotiation Simulation

Click here to access the Sri Lanka Negotiation Simulation

 

Sudan 

U.N. resolutions authorizing sanctions and prosecutions in Darfur have increased tension

Protests have occurred in Darfur and in Khartoum.

 

Peace Negotiations Watch is prepared by the Public International Law and Policy Group in cooperation with American University and is made possible by grants from the Carnegie Corporation of New York and the Ploughshares Fund.

 

Afghanistan

 

Top Suspects In Afghanistan Are Included In Amnesty

Carlotta Gall, The New York Times, 5/9/05

 

The head of Afghanistan's peace and reconciliation commission offered an amnesty on Monday for all rebels fighting American and government forces, and even extended the offer to two of the most wanted Afghan terrorism suspects: the Taliban leader Mullah Muhammad Omar and the renegade warlord Gulbuddin Hekmatyar. However, an American military spokesman seemed to suggest that the two suspects could not be included in the program.

 

The Afghan official, Sebaghatullah Mojadeddi, said that even though government policy had formerly excluded people like Mullah Omar and Mr. Hekmatyar, he had been granted complete independence to act as he saw fit on the matter.  ''This peace that we want is for all, there is no exception,'' Mr. Mojadeddi said. ''Those who are armed, they should lay down their weapons when they come, accept the Constitution, and obey the government. We will accept them with an open heart.''

 

Mr. Mojadeddi said that while he did not know how or where to contact Mullah Omar or Mr. Hekmatyar, the offer stood for them as well. ''We are announcing it today. Let us give them time to discuss and think about it, and let's see what is God's favor.''  He said the program was also open to inmates of the American prison camp at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, and for detainees at military bases at Bagram and Kandahar, and had the agreement of American officials.

 

However, a United States military spokesman in Kabul, Col. James Yonts, seemed to cast doubt on Mr. Mojadeddi's offer to Mullah Omar and Mr. Hekmatyar, though he did not mention the two specifically. He said that while the military supported the reconciliation program and would offer assistance, all those guilty of terrorism or other serious crimes would not be allowed to join. All candidates would be screened by the National Security Council and intelligence officers, he said.

 

The announcement came as the American military reported further high casualties in fighting with suspected Taliban members in eastern Afghanistan. Two marines were killed when they searched a cave where militants had hidden Sunday evening after a fierce battle. Other marines called in air support, and the military said 23 insurgents were killed in the subsequent fighting.

 

American forces have fought heavy battles in two areas in southern Afghanistan in the past few days.  Afghan officials and American commanders have said that they see the reconciliation process as an important step in getting Taliban supporters and other militants to give up fighting, especially in remote parts of southern and eastern Afghanistan.

 

Mr. Mojadeddi said 50 to 60 people had already approached the government and joined the reconciliation program, including the former Taliban foreign minister, Mullah Wakil Ahmed Muttawakil, who has been under house arrest in Kabul for more than a year after American forces released him from custody. Another Taliban commander, Abdul Waheed Baghrani, gave himself up and joined the program recently, he said.  He said 40 to 50 commanders and council members of Mr. Hekmatyar's party, the Islamic Party, had also pledged allegiance to the government of President Hamid Karzai and had come home in the past year and a half.

 

Mr. Karzai's government has always insisted that 100 to 150 members of the Taliban government and other antigovernment rebels who have committed crimes would be excluded from the reconciliation program. American military officials have also talked of a ''blacklist'' of the most wanted members of the former government that harbored Osama bin Laden and operatives of Al Qaeda for five years until October 2001. Mr. Hekmatyar is also wanted in connection with terrorist attacks against United States forces, American commanders have said.

 

But Mr. Mojadeddi, an influential religious and jihadi leader who led the first post-communist government in 1992, expressed a readiness to overlook accusations of war crimes against returning Taliban. When a journalist raised the issue, he answered: ''Brother, don't discuss war criminals, because there are lots of other war criminals. Which one of them should we put on trial first?''

 

More than 1,000 register for Afghan parliamentary election, but few women

Associated Press, 5/15/05

 

More than 1,000 people have stepped forward so far to contest Afghan parliamentary elections in September, although organizers said Sunday there was a shortage of female candidates.  By Saturday, 1,035 Afghans had registered to run for the 249-seat lower house, said Sultan Baheen, a spokesman for the joint Afghan-U.N. electoral board. Another 596 registered as candidates in provincial council elections the same day.

 

However, they include only 125 women for the parliamentary vote and 16 for the provincial contest, and in some provinces no women have come forward at all - offsetting optimistic statements by Afghan and U.S. officials on improvements in women's rights.  Baheen declined to comment on how authorities would fill seats reserved for women if not enough register to compete. He said organizers expected a surge in registrations before the deadline Thursday.

 

Election officials planned for up to 10,000 candidates for the elections, which are supposed to complete the country's transition to democracy after the ouster of the Taliban in 2001.  Last year, the country adopted a new constitution and held a presidential election, which was easily won by U.S.-backed former interim leader Hamid Karzai.

 

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______________________________________________________________________________________

Armenia/Azerbaijan

 

Leaders of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Turkey hold separate talks on disputed region

David McHugh, Associated Press, 5/16/05

 

Azeri President Ilham Aliev has met with Armenian and Turkish leaders at separate talks on the disputed enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh, an official said Monday.  Aliev met first with Armenian President Robert Kocharian, followed by a meeting with Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, said Council of Europe official Seyfi Tashan.

 

The meetings, which took place late Sunday and early Monday ahead of the two-day Council of Europe summit, focused on the presence of Armenian troops in Nagorno-Karabakh, a mountainous region inside Azerbaijan that has been under the control of ethnic Armenians since the early 1990s, following fighting that killed an estimated 30,000 people.

 

"I hope that negotiations will bring results," Aliyev was quoted as saying by the Interfax-Azerbaijan news agency. "The positions are well known. The issue has been discussed for years, and each side has its own position. These positions have been discussed again."  A cease-fire was signed in 1994, but the enclave's final political status has not been determined and shooting breaks out frequently between the two sides, which face off across a demilitarized buffer zone.

 

Azerbaijan's Foreign Minister Elmar Mamdyarov said on private ATV television Monday that one focus of the talks was possible Armenian withdrawal from seven occupied regions adjacent to Nagorno-Karabakh. "They agree to return all the regions but they're thinking about when," he said.

 

Speaking at the summit, Armenian President Kocharian said his country was looking "to find ways of including the de-facto established Republic of Nagorno-Karabakh into the European process of integration."  Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan said in his speech that "Armenia is not only occupying parts of Azerbaijan, it also refuses to recognize its border with Turkey and has historic claims on some parts of eastern Turkey."

 

French Foreign Minister Michel Barnier and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov also took part in the talks, officials said. France, Russia and the United States lead the Minsk Group under the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, which is seeking to assist a diplomatic solution.

 

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Burundi

 

U.N. official presses Burundi to move refugees from border with Rwanda

Aloys Niyoyita, Associated Press, 5/10/05

 

Burundi should move hundreds of Rwandan asylum seekers from the border after they fled into the country because of fears of traditional community courts that are trying people accused of participating in the 1994 genocide in Rwanda, a U.N. official said Tuesday.  Some 5,000 Rwandan asylum seekers are living along the border with Rwanda, said Catherine Lune Grayson, a spokeswoman for the United Nations' refugee agency in Burundi.

 

Most of the asylum seekers are from Rwanda's Hutu ethnic majority, officials said.  More than 500,000 minority Tutsis and politically moderate Hutus were killed in the 100-day genocide in 1994 in Rwanda.  At least 760,000 Rwandans accused of crimes during the genocide are to be tried by the newly established community courts, known as Gacaca.  United Nations officials transferred some 1,800 of the asylum seekers to two transit centers further inland in Burundi in mid-April, Grayson said.

 

The operation, however, was halted on April 23 by Burundian authorities to enable them and their Rwandan counterparts to meet the asylum seekers in an effort to ease their fears and encourage them to voluntarily return home, she said.  Several hundred have returned to Rwanda as a result of the campaign, which is set to end on May 12.  "We wish to continue helping these people. But we want to assist them far from the boarder for security reasons, in line with international conventions," Grayson said.

 

U.N. report accuses Burundi's new army, holdout rebels of rights abuses

Aloys Niyoyita, Associated Press, 5/12/05

 

Members of Burundi's new army troops execute suspected supporters of the country's last active rebel group, and their adversaries continue to rape and loot civilian homes even as they prepare for peace talks, a United Nations official said Thursday.  Security has not improved since the government and main rebel groups signed a series of cease-fires, formed a transitional government and agreed to integrate their troops into the new National Defense Force, Gillian Kitley said.

 

The arrangements were part of a power-sharing deal intended to end a 12-year civil war between rebels from the Hutu ethnic majority and the former government that was dominated by the Tutsi minority.  Abuses, however, continue, said Kitley, head of the human rights section of the U.N. Mission in Burundi.

 

"An international non-governmental organization receives 120-140 cases of rape each month," but many more incidents are never reported, according to the report.  "We are hopping that training on human rights that we are carrying out with army and police will help improve the human rights situation," Kitley said.  Burundi's Army Chief of Staff Brig. Gen. Germain Niyoyankana rejected charges that the army has failed to punish troops accused of taking part in the abuses.

 

"There were no reports of looting or killing of civilians that have not been punished according to army rules and regulations," Niyoyankana said. "Our big problem, however, is that the victims prefer to keep silent or refuse to report abuses to commanders of nearby army check points."

 

The most recent fighting in Burundi began in 1993 when the country's first democratically elected president, a Hutu, was assassinated by paratroopers from the Tutsi-dominated former army. More than 250,000 people have died, most of them civilians, in the violence that followed.

 

A new transitional government was formed in 2003 after a power-sharing deal was struck with the largest Hutu rebel group.  On April 13, the last holdout rebel group, the National Liberation Force, agreed to stop fighting once peace talks begin with the government. The talks are expected to open Sunday in neighboring Tanzania.

 

Prospects of lasting peace strengthen as Burundi, rebels sign truce

Agence France Presse, 5/16/05

 

Hopes of a lasting peace in Burundi have risen following the weekend signing of a truce between the government and the country's recalcitrant National Liberation Forces (FNL), the sole rebel group yet to disarm.  Analysts have lauded the weekend signature between President Domitien Ndayizeye and the FNL leader Agathon Rwasa in the Tanzanian capital of Dar es Salaam in what they consider as the home stretch in the hunt for a lasting peace in Burundi.

 

"The event that we have witnessed is historic ... It is the last step in the Burundi peace process," Jan Van Eck, a Burundi analyst told AFP.  "The FNL have proved their will to find peace, they did not impose conditions and the chances of a lasting real peace are high," said another diplomat who preferred not to be named.

 

On Sunday, the two leaders signed an agreement to immediately end all hostilities and to engage in modalities of a permanent ceasefire within the "shortest time possible," without compromising the election timetable, effectively paving way to an end to a 12-year civil war in Burundi.  The tiny central African nation is still struggling from the devastation of a 12-year civil war that pitted the country's Tutsi dominated army and Hutu rebels and claimed the lives of some 300,000 people.

 

Six of its seven rebel groups have signed ceasfire agreements with the government, including the main rebel movement, Forces for the defence of Democracy (FDD), leaving out the FNL, which has continued engaging the army in deadly combats in the outskirts of the capital Bujumbura.  The ceasefire deal announcement comes just months ahead of Burundi's marathon elections to culminate with the election of the country's new president.  Between June 3 and August 19, a series of municipal and legislative elections are set to take place and will mark the first of such since the country plunged into chaos slightly more than a decade ago.

 

"The FNL should take the train before it gets to the (next) station, they shall not have missed the occasion," said Carolyn McAskie, chief of the UN Operation in Burundi (ONUB).  "The FNL did not have any other choice," said another diplomat on conditions of anonymity. "They were either to join the process now or be totally out after the elections."  Analysts say that Ndayizeye's Front for Democracy in Burundi (FRODEBU) stands to benefit if the FNL gave up arms.

 

For on the one hand, the FNL cannot field candidates in the coming general elections owing to time constrains and hence could call on its supporters to vote for FRODEBU.  Such a move, they say, would be beneficial to FRODEBU because of FNL's popularity in the country's northwestern region, especially in rural Bujumbura.  While on the other hand, because the FRODEBU feels threatened by the FDD in the wake of recent acrimony between them over the appointment of a new interior minister, the FNL would come handy in boosting FRODEBU's political clout.

 

But the FNL might, however, have their own political interests to guard and it would be difficult to integrate them in the government ahead of the elections.  And under the 2000 Arusha peace process signed in Tanzania, any rebel group joining the government must have their troops in the country's army.  However, no date has been fixed for the next round of talks between the government and the FNL rebels.

 

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Chechnya

 

Putin Should Defuse the Chechnya Time-Bomb

Rajan Menon and Peter Reddaway, Financial Times (London), 5/12/05

 

In their talks in Moscow with Vladimir Putin during Monday's 60th anniversary celebration of the Nazi defeat, George W. Bush, the US president, and his western colleagues avoided an issue Mr Putin is disturbingly loath to address - Russia's war in Chechnya. Chechnya is a small place far from Moscow, and the visitors presumably had other matters on their minds, particularly Russia's creeping authoritarianism and its harassment of its neighbours.

 

Yet the Chechnya war has contributed much to the erosion of Russia's democracy and Mr Putin is nowhere near either a military victory or a political solution. The Kremlin would have us believe otherwise. On March 8 Russian troops killed Chechen leader Aslan Maskhadov, and Mr Putin hailed the event as a milestone on the road to victory. In fact, Maskhadov's death will make ending the war much harder. Many Russians believe that Kremlin hardliners disposed of Maskhadov to torpedo a chance for negotiations. His killing came soon after his London representative met with the committee of soldiers' mothers, a Russian civic group dedicated to peace in Chechnya. Shortly before his death, Maskhadov reiterated his call for a ceasefire and talks with Mr Putin aimed at achieving autonomy for Chechnya within the Russian Federation. This challenged Moscow's refrain that the Chechen resistance lacks voices of reason and contains only terrorists intent on complete independence.

 

With Maskhadov gone, this claim could prove a self-fulfilling prophecy. Maskhadov was the leading voice for compromise. With his killing, the balance of power may shift to Chechen Islamists committed to continued war, foremost among them Shamil Basayev.

 

Moscow needs to change course. Western experts have claimed that the Kremlin's plan for parliamentary elections in Chechnya is the best hope for progress. But these commentators usually ignore the increasingly chaotic north Caucasian context, of which the war is only a part, and the radical makeover of Kremlin policy that is required if a political settlement is to be attained. Mr Putin portrays the war as a fight against Islamic fundamentalism and international terrorism. In reality it stems from Chechen nationalism, a force with deep historical roots.

 

Ever since Chechnya's growing chaos prompted the Kremlin in 1999 to relaunch the war that it began in 1994, Chechnya has again been a scene of destruction, "disappearances", hostage takings and "cleansing operations". These frequently target Chechens who are not involved in the fighting and are often conducted by Moscow's vicious Chechen puppets. Unsurprisingly, vows of vengeance abound in Chechnya. Terrorists do not lack recruits.

 

In such circumstances, Maskhadov's killing has made it harder than ever to draw moderate oppositionists into the peace process. Moreover, Chechnya remains an economic wasteland from which over 100,000 Chechen refugees have fled to live in squalor elsewhere. Meaningful elections are impossible unless their demolished or damaged homes are rebuilt, and until they can eke out a living - preconditions impossible amid a war which, as a leading Moscow newspaper noted recently, has turned Grozny, Chechnya's capital, into "the Stalingrad of our times". Nor will Chechen resistance groups participate in a vote without guarantees of their leaders' safety.

 

Russia is not winning the war; nor can it transfer power to a local, pro-Moscow government capable of surviving without Russian bayonets. Only a peace process including Chechen resistance groups can end the fighting.

 

The violence of Chechnya is spreading across the north Caucasus, where extremists of other ethnic groups are using terrorist tactics to pursue their own agendas. The problems of new terrorist networks and threats to Caspian oil pipelines are set to intensify. Globalisation will ensure that Russia's turmoil travels.

 

Thus, the Kremlin must launch bold, difficult, long-term initiatives before it can hold fair elections in Chechnya and stabilise its increasingly shaky south. Mr Putin needs to rebuild Chechnya's society and economy; restore effective government in the north Caucasus; counter the xenophobic trends in Russia's society and state; and seek the assistance of other governments and international organisations for rebuilding Chechnya. Moscow must rethink its entire strategy. World leaders should impress this fact on Mr Putin without delay. It is in the west's interest as well as Russia's.

 

Rajan Menon is a professor of international relations at Lehigh University and a fellow at the New America Foundation. Peter Reddaway is professor emeritus of political science at George Washington University and former director of the Kennan Institute for Advanced Russian Studies.

 

Former Chechen separatist vice president reported killed by Russian forces

Jim Heintz, Associated Press, 5/15/05

 

Russian forces in Chechnya killed four rebels, including a man believed to be the republic's former separatist vice president Vakha Arsanov, reports said Sunday.  The four were killed in a village outside the Chechen capital Grozny after Interior Ministry forces surrounded a house and demanded that fighters holed up inside surrender, the ITAR-Tass news agency reported, citing Chechen deputy Interior Minister Sultan Satuyev.

 

The report quoted him as saying that Arsanov's body was identified by local residents who knew him well. However, other news reports suggested the bodies were badly disfigured by fire that broke out in the house.  A spokesman for the Interior Ministry, Ruslan Atzayev, told The Associated Press that the identity of those killed could be confirmed only after examination by experts.  Arsanov was a leading rebel commander in the 1994-96 war with Russian forces that ended with the Russian army's withdrawal and Chechnya becoming de-facto independent. In 1997 elections, he became vice president under Aslan Maskhadov.

 

Arsanov also was a strong advocate of the implementation of Islamic Sharia law in Chechnya, a move that Maskhadov made with apparent reluctance as a concession to the growing influence of Muslim fundamentalists in the republic. He also was regarded as a key figure behind the kidnappings of foreigners and journalists that plagued the republic during its years outside Russian control.

 

ITAR-Tass said Arsanov was fired by Maskhadov in early 1999, about six months before Russian forces renewed fighting in Chechnya, and that he commanded resistance fighters in Grozny.  However, a rebel-linked web site said he was fired in 2001, apparently for refusing to fight Russian forces.

 

His recent activities were unclear. Some reports said had moved to Tsenteroi, the home village of the clan of Akhmad Kadyrov, the Kremlin-backed Chechen president who was assassinated in a bomb blast in May 2004, and that he developed close relations with Kadyrov. Other reports said he was believed to have been seized this year by security forces led by Kadyrov's son Ramzan.  Maskhadov was killed in a Russian operation in early March.

 

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Congo

 

Congo chooses Belgian company Zetes Pass to register voters for historic elections

Eddy Isango, Associated Press, 5/12/05

 

A Belgian company will handle the identification and registration of about 55 million prospective voters as Congo lays the groundwork for landmark postwar elections, officials said Thursday.  The Brussels-based company Zetes Pass will arrive soon in Congo with 10,000 mobile phones, 10,000 digital cameras, 10,000 digital fingerprinting machines and 10,000 generators to begin registering voters in the vast country, Election Commission Chairman Apollinaire Malumalu said.

 

Malumalu said the materials and the logistics to distribute them would cost about US$44 million (€35 million).  A transitional government arranged under peace deals to end Congo's 1998-2002 war is charged with arranging elections before June 30, although a delay was expected.  Congo, a former Belgian colony the size of western Europe, was thrown into turmoil in 1996 after Rwandan-backed rebels invaded the country to overthrow longtime dictator Mobutu Sese Seko.

 

In 1998, Uganda and Rwanda invaded again, sparking a devastating five-year, six-country war that aid groups estimate killed nearly 4 million people, mostly through hunger and disease.  Myriad obstacles now stand in the way of holding elections in the Central African country, where roads often turn wild and melt into the thick jungle. About 1 million people are displaced from their homes at any given time by continued strife.  Elections haven't been held in Congo during the past four decades of strife and corrupt, autocratic rule.

 

Congo's legislature holds ceremony for country's new constitution

Bryan Mealer, Associated Press, 5/16/05

 

The legislature officially ratified Congo's new constitution Monday, moving the nation a step closer to elections and reconciliation after nearly four decades of dictatorship and war.  The central African giant made the charter adopted Friday official Monday in a ceremony attended by Congolese leaders and international figures, including South African President Thabo Mbeki - who helped broker peace deals that ended Congo's 1998-2003 war.

 

Under the new constitution, presidential and parliamentary elections must now be held by June 2006 - Congo's first balloting in nearly 40 years.  President Laurent Kabila promised in an address that the vote would go ahead, but didn't make the anxiously awaited announcement of a firm date.  "The irreversible step toward elections has been taken," said Kabila. "This train is moving. Elections will really take place."  During Kabila's speech, the house frequently erupted with applause and raucous rumbling from attendees pounding on their wooden tables.

 

Monday's ceremony came on the eve of the anniversary of former rebel leader Laurent Kabila's 1997 march into Congo's capital, Kinshasa - a thrust that officially ended Cold War-era dictator Mobutu Sese Seko's deeply corrupt and ruinous three-decade rule.  Laurent Kabila, who became president, was assassinated by his own bodyguard in 2001, thrusting his son Joseph Kabila into power.  The new constitution replaces a transitional constitution adopted in South Africa in 2002 under Mbeki's tutelage that ended a years-long war against the younger Kabila's government that began in 1998. Kabila now leads a power-sharing administration that includes former warring parties.

 

Congo's transitional government is attempting to piece the country back together after the latest war - a conflict that aid groups say killed nearly 4 million people, mostly through hunger and sickness.  After Monday's parliamentary approval of the new charter, it must be put to a national referendum within six months for popular certification. The constitution mandates presidential elections by June 2006, and lowers the minimum age for candidates from 35 to 30 - allowing Kabila, 33, to seek re-election.

 

The new, 226-article constitution also gives a president up to two five-year terms in office, and promises free primary education to all children.  It sets up a system of checks and balances between the president, prime minister and parliament, and recognizes all ethnic groups living in Congo at the time of independence in June 1960.

 

The article on ethnicity is intended primarily for residents of ethnic Tutsi origin, who were brought mainly from neighboring Rwanda when Congo was a colony of Belgium. Tutsis are a minority in both Congo and Rwanda, and have been the target of attacks for years.

 

Democratic Republic of Congo Negotiation Simulation

Click here to access the DR Congo Negotiation Simulation prepared by the Public International Law & Policy Group.

 

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Georgia/Abkhazia

 


Bush wins enthusiastic welcome in former Soviet republic of Georgia

Jennifer Loven, Associated Press, 5/10/05

 

President Bush, greeted with a huge outpouring of affection in this former Soviet republic, expressed strong support for the fledging democracy here Tuesday and said, "You've got a solid friend in America."  Bush encouraged Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili to use peaceful means to settle disputes with two separatist regions - Abkhazia and South Ossetia - which are aligned with Moscow.

 

Bush offered to help resolve the disputes if his assistance is requested. "I'm confident that the government of Georgia has got a good strategy to move forward to resolve the disputes. Obviously if the president were to call and want me to make a phone call or two, I'd be more than happy to do so. ... The United States cannot impose a solution nor would you want us to."

 

Bush and Saakashvili met in the Parliament House about two blocks from Freedom Square where tens of thousands of people were gathering for a speech by the president. Saakashvili said more 150,000 people had assembled - an estimate that seemed overstated.  "No event in the history of this country has ever assembled anything close to these number," the Georgian leader said. "It shows the importance of this visit."  Bush said he talked in Moscow with President Vladimir Putin about Georgia' demand for the closure of two Russian bases in this country.

 

"He (Putin) reminded me that there is an agreement in place - a 1999 agreement," Bush said. "He said that the Russians want to work with the government to fulfill their obligations in terms of that agreement. I think that's a commitment that's important for the people of Georgia to hear. It shows there's grounds to work to get this issue resolved."  The long-simmering dispute over the bases has strained relations between the ex-Soviet republic, relations that soured further since Saakashvili and his pro-Western administration came to power in Georgia in 2004.

 

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov said it could take up to four years to build the barracks, garages and other infrastructure in Russia to handle the servicemen and materiel that would be withdrawn from Georgia.  Georgia's Foreign Minister Salome Zurabishvili has said the withdrawal must be completed before January 2008 because of parliamentary and presidential elections.  Saakashvili did not attend Monday's victory in Europe Day celebration in Moscow to protest Russia's slowness in withdrawing the two bases.  The excitement over Bush's visit to this ancient hilly capital was evident at every turn.

 

Freedom Square began filling with people hours before Bush was to deliver a speech meant to inspire democratic change elsewhere and encourage countries not to give up on the difficult work of establishing truly free, representative governments.

 

Before a private meeting with Saakashvili, Bush received a red-carpet welcome in the courtyard of a light stone, imposing Parliament building where the leaders reviewed a large honor guard as the anthems of both nations played. Enormous U.S. and Georgian flags covered the facade of the building and smaller ones fluttered all around.

 

And reminders of last year's Rose Revolution that toppled a longtime, corrupt government and placed Saakashvili in office were everywhere. Red roses were tucked into evergreen garlands in the courtyard and there were red rose topiaries in the room inside where Bush and Saakashvili met.

 

On Monday night, Bush's motorcade route was lined with an extraordinary turnout of locals cheering and waving in excitement at his visit to this impoverished nation. He and his wife, Laura, were treated to a lively scene in the city's Old Town. Georgian dancers costumed in red, black and white and colorful headscarves performed dozens of traditional routines for the smiling, clapping - even hip-shaking - president.

 

Bush, who only planned to stay 20 minutes, was caught up in the revelry - the leaping and whirling and stomping - and remained for nearly two hours, including sitting down for a meal in a restaurant along the street. As he emerged in the doorway of the restaurant to leave, the dancing and singing resumed and a huge fireworks show sent him off with explosions that filled the sky above an ancient church on a nearby hillside.  "I learned first hand what it means to be fed by a Georgian," Bush said at the news conference. "I'm really full. And the food was great. I should have eaten my meal first and then danced."

 

Bush treads sensitive ground with offer to help Georgia's separatist conflicts

Simon Ostrovsky, Agence France Presse, 5/10/05

 

US President George W. Bush trod on sensitive political ground Tuesday with an offer made during his visit to Georgia to help resolve the ex-Soviet republic's conflicts with Russian-backed separatists.  In what appeared to be a thinly veiled reference to Russia, Bush said: "all nations must respect the territory and sovereignty of Georgia."  Bush's remark, made in a speech to tens of thousands of people in the capital Tbilisi's Freedom Square, provoked cheers from the Georgians, who accuse Moscow of stirring up the separatist conflicts in Abkhazia and South Ossetia.

 

The Georgian authorities have been powerless in both regions, which are on the Russian border, since losing wars in the early 1990s against the Abkhaz and Ossetian ethnic minorities.   Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili -- who swept to power in the "rose revolution" of late 2003 -- has made recovering control of the two strategically placed territories the top priority of his presidency.  However, so far Saakashvili has seen little progress and Western leaders have put him under pressure not to resort to force.

 

Bush repeated his support for Saakashvili's dream of bringing Georgia into NATO and the European Union but cautioned progress toward those goals would depend in part on the Georgian leader's ability to find peaceful resolutions to these separatist disputes.  "Georgia's leaders know that the peaceful resolution of conflict is essential to your integration into the transatlantic community," Bush said. "At the same time, the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Georgia must be respected."  But Bush also made an offer of US help in what has for two-centuries been a Russian-dominated area.

 

Georgia "can solve them peacefully with our help," Bush told journalists. "The United States cannot impose a solution, nor would you want us to, but what we can do is work with international bodies, work with the UN for example."  If Saakashvili made "a phone call or two," he could expect Washington's help, he said.  However, it was unclear how much difference the United States might make.  Vladimir Pribylovsky, an analyst at the Panorama think tank in Moscow, said Washington's support for the Georgian position "will not change much."  "It is possible that these are not much more than polite, diplomatic words."

 

Certainly, Russia's position in the separatist republics is unlikely to be shaken soon.  Tense ceasefires hold in both areas, partially due to the presence of Russian-led peacekeepers -- a force that the Georgian government accuses of siding with the separatists.  And in addition to providing both regions with an economic lifeline, Russia gives diplomatic support by inviting their leaders to Moscow for frequent consultations and issues Russian passports to residents there, despite them technically still being Georgian citizens.  The Russian currency also circulates in both regions.

 

Georgia regularly accuses Moscow, which has been fighting separatists of its own in Chechnya, of supplying weapons and expertise to the rebels' small, but dedicated armed forces. Moscow denies this.  Despite Bush's foray into the issue of the separatist conflicts, he was cautious when asked about Georgia's demands for a rapid withdrawal of two Russian military bases from Georgia -- the other main hot-button issue between Tbilisi and Moscow.

 

"There are grounds for work to get this issue resolved," he said in what appeared to be deliberately vague comments so as not to upset Moscow.  The United States has its own military presence in Georgia to train the impoverished republic's small army. It also has financed construction of a training facility for the Georgians near South Ossetia, raising suspicions among the separatists there about Washington's intentions.

 

U.N. representative meeting Georgian, Abkhazian officials in Abkhazia on security issues

Associated Press, 5/12/05

 

High-ranking officials from Georgia and the separatist region of Abkhazia were to meet a United Nations envoy Thursday to discuss security issues in the tense region.  The meeting between Georgian Minister for Conflict Resolution Georgy Khaindrava and Abkhazia's foreign minister, Sergei Shamba, was scheduled to take place in the Gali district, which is patrolled by U.N. monitors.

 

It was to focus on such themes as cooperation between law enforcement authorities, minimizing bellicose propaganda and providing maps pinpointing the location of minefields to a British de-mining organization, the Interfax news agency reported.  Abkhazia has run its own affairs since 1993, when separatists drove out Georgian government troops. The Black Sea region is not recognized internationally, but has cultivated closer ties with Russia.

 

Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili has vowed to bring Abkhazia and another separatist region, South Ossetia, back under Tbilisi's rule.  U.S. President George W. Bush expressed support for Saakashvili's policy on the regions during his visit to Tbilisi earlier this week, saying Georgia's territorial integrity must be respected.

 

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Indonesia

 

Indonesia to end Aceh state of emergency, but anti-rebel operations to stay

Agence France Presse, 5/12/05

 

Indonesia said Thursday it plans to lift Aceh's one-year-old state of civil emergency but will continue its military operations to rid the tsunami-ravaged province of separatist rebels.  The state of civil emergency giving authorities wider powers to resolve security problems would come to an end on May 18, said the country's top security minister, Adisucipto Widodo.  "From our evaluation, the government wishes to later end the state of civilian emergency and return to normal civilian order so that this situation can support (tsunami) rehabilitation and reconstruction," said Widodo.

 

"Even though this status is reverted to civilian order, there should be efforts to guarantee that the implementation of the rehabilitation and reconstruction can proceed in security," he said without elaborating.  Widodo said the lifting of the state of emergency was also needed to allow a transparency and a conducive atmosphere for Aceh's recovery from the December 26 tsunami catastrophe to proceed well.  He said it was a "reality" that the separatist Free Aceh Movement (GAM) continued to exist in the province and could pose a security threat to its recovery from the disaster.

 

The December 26 earthquake and the giant waves that it triggered claimed nearly 129,000 lives in Indonesia, most of them in the westernmost province of Aceh. Almost 38,000 Indonesians remain missing.  Widodo echoed Indonesian armed forces chief General Endriartono Sutarto who said earlier Thursday that the separatists remained a real threat to security in Aceh.  "We are only looking at the reality on the field, that the GAM is still there and continues to create disturbances that are affecting people," Sutarto said.

 

The general added the strength and numbers of the rebels had risen since December 26.  "Now, their numbers are increasing, because during the tsunami, there were detainees who ran away and joined them again," Sutarto told journalists.  Sutarto gave no figure but added rebels got new firearms from military and police facilities damaged during the disaster.  Aceh has been a battleground for government and armed rebels since 1976 when the Free Aceh Movement launched its campaign for independence, angered by what it said was Jakarta's exploitation of the province's resources.

 

More than 12,000 have been killed since the GAM began waging a guerilla war against Jakarta for independence for the resource-rich province in 1976.  The civil emergency, which according to Sutarto gives wider authority to the local government to help resolve security problems, was imposed in May last year.  It replaced martial law which was declared in Aceh in May 2003 after the collapse of peace talks between the government and the GAM.  But the tsunami disaster prompted Jakarta and the rebels to reopen dialogue in January.

 

"What is clear is the GAM continues to represent a security disturbance," he Sutarto said.  Late last year before the tsunamis struck, Aceh military chief Major General Endang Suwarya put the number of guerrilla forces at about 2,500 people armed with almost 850 various firearms.  Despite the continued tensions on the ground, the Indonesian government and the Free Aceh Movement have agreed to hold a fourth round of peace talks since January later this month.

 

Tsunami rebuilding stalls survivors confront government delays, political squabbling

Michael Casey, Associated Press, 5/15/05

 

Political squabbling, donor demands and government indecision have stalled the building of roads, water treatment plants and nearly 180,000 homes for survivors of last December's tsunami.  Aid agencies, which plan to spend more than US$7 billion (€5.4 billion) on tsunami relief across the Indian Ocean basin, have put massive building projects on hold while waiting for Indonesian authorities to come up with a solid plan. Only now, nearly five months later, are concrete reconstruction agreements being signed.

 

Meanwhile, survivors along the battered coasts of Aceh province on the Indonesian island of Sumatra have largely been left to fend for themselves while wondering whether they will rebuild their old homes and revive the fishing industry, their main livelihood.  "People are coming back here to nothing," said Herman Hasbalah, a 33-year-old village leader from Deah Geulumpang, where returning survivors sleep in a damaged coffee house and crowded tents.  "The government hasn't done anything and people are getting frustrated and angry," he said.

 

The earthquake and tsunami killed more than 180,000 people in 11 countries, and left about 50,000 missing and hundreds of thousands homeless. But the massive international relief effort that followed was credited with averting a health and food disaster.  Now the aid groups that were at the front lines of the relief effort are waiting for the government to provide guidelines for building clinics, schools, homes and roads in Aceh.  "We have not done any reconstruction. We cannot do it without a plan," Holger Leipe, head of International Red Cross operations in Aceh, said in an interview.

 

"If we put up a building and later it's pulled down, it would be a waste of donors' money," Leipe said. "To get it right, we have to have everyone on board."  The first sign of trouble was the government's master plan, released in February to criticism from Acehnese leaders for ignoring their input and barring reconstruction along the coast.  An amended draft released a month later was largely without specifics. The government also set out to establish an agency to oversee the four-year, US$4.8 billion (€3.7 billion) reconstruction project. But with at least three ministries fighting for a say in the new body, it was not until April 30 that former Energy Minister Kuntoro Mangkusubroto was appointed to run it.

 

"It's shocking," Kuntoro told a news conference Monday. "There are no roads being built, there are no bridges being built, there are no harbors being built. When it comes to reconstruction - zero."  The government says the delay is due partly to the magnitude of the task - rebuilding 179,000 houses and dozens of bridges and major roads that crisscross the province - and the need to involve the local community in planning. 

 

It also accuses some donors of setting overly strict conditions. It says donors have refused to release any aid until the government provides a detailed reconstruction blueprint and anti-corruption mechanism.  "Donors want to help but then they say they don't want this help to be corrupted," Planning Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati told The Associated Press. "The president assured them a system that includes monitoring and oversight would be established but it has taken time to design."

 

Along Aceh's coast, life is slowly returning to the desolate landscape. Aid agencies have started building temporary homes and small shops sell fresh vegetables, packaged noodles and water. The reopened coastal highway is crowded with army vehicles, families on motorbikes and trucks delivering supplies.

 

This month, the government signed the first of a series of agreements paving the way for agencies to start more permanent rebuilding. The Red Cross has agreed to spend US$600 million (€468 million) to build 22,500 homes, 110 clinics and 110 schools. The U.S. Agency for International Development will spend US$245 million (€190 million) to rebuild a major road starting in July.

 

Indonesia and foreign donors agreed Tuesday to spend US$250 million (€195 million) to build 20,000 homes, repair roads and bridges, and set up a system to recover lost land records.  Still, many of these projects are weeks away from starting. Meanwhile the landscape - vast stretches of emptiness broken only by the occasional standing wall or coconut tree - has changed little.

 

Aceh Negotiation Simulation

Click here to access the Aceh Negotiation Simulation prepared by the Public International Law & Policy Group.

 

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Ivory Coast

 

Warring sides in Ivory Coast reach disarmament deal

Agence France Presse, 5/14/05

 

Army and rebel forces in Ivory Coast signed an agreement Saturday setting June 27 as the date to begin disarmament of their fighters, officials in the west African capital said.  After several failed attempts during the past several months the chief of the general staff of the Ivory Coast military and his opposite number in the rebel New Forces signed the accord fixing the rules and schedule of disarmament.  The New Forces have held the north of the country since an unsuccessful attempt to oust President Laurent Gbagbo in September 2002, cutting the west African country and the world's number one producer of cocoa in two. Both sides are kept apart by French and UN peacekeepers.

 

Saturday's accord follows a series of meetings over nearly two weeks, after South African mediation on behalf of the African Union in April defused an explosive situation in the country.  The new agreement will, if successful, result in the disarmament of the 42,500 strong rebel forces and 5,500 fighters loyal to the government.  "Peace is on an irreversible path," Prime Minister Seydou Diarra, who heads up a national reconciliation government, said in hailing the deal.

 

The head of the national disarmament commission, Alain Donwahi, who also signed the pact, said the process would start from Saturday by informing the troops on both sides of what was happening.  Donwahi said that mustering sites for the forces would be prepared between May 24 and June 14, while regrouping and registration would start on June 5 and last until June 27.  Actual disarmament is due to start on June 27 and finish on August 10, Donwahi said, who said the negotiations on disarmament had been "difficult but brotherly."

 

The agreement also foreshadows the reformation of the army by late September with an audit of the both government and rebel forces and a special commission to deliver recommendations on how this should be achieved by August 30.  Stalled disarmament has been one of the key issues that have dogged the peace process in Ivory Coast since the signing of a French-brokered peace pact in early 2003.

 

An accord signed by Gbagbo, rebel and opposition leaders in Pretoria under the mediation of South African President Thabo Mbeki on April 6 set out to resolve the major problems: disarmament, resolving a dispute over the eligibility of presidential candidates and providing for the rebels to return to the transitional government they quit over fears for their safety.

 

Mbeki ruled that all the signatories of the peace deal can run in the October presidential election, opening the way for the popular main opposition leader Alassane Ouattara.  Gbagbo has yet to publicly acknowledge if he agrees to Mbeki's ruling, but has said the government was working on implementation of the Pretoria accord, without giving details.

 

A contentious article in the constitution stipulates that both the parents of a presidential candidate must be Ivorian, thereby eliminating Ouattara whose father is from neighboring Burkina Faso.  Gbagbo has repeatedly said he cannot allow the constitution to be changed without a referendum, something his opponents say is impossible to carry out under current circumstances.

 

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Kashmir

 

Work on power project continues in Kashmir despite World Bank intervention

Agence France Presse, 5/12/05

 

Building of a controversial power project in Indian Kashmir will continue despite opposition by Pakistan and the appointment of a neutral expert by the World Bank to sort things out, officials say.  Pakistan, which fears the one-billion-dollar project could deprive its wheat-bowl state of Punjab of vital irrigation water, charges that the plant violates a 44-year-old water sharing treaty.  But Indian Kashmir officials say the 450-megawatt Baglihar project on the Chenab River in south Kashmir does not contravene the pact and could go a long way to ending routine 12-hour blackouts plaguing the Himalayan state.

 

"The work on the project is continuing as we are not doing anything outside the parameters of the treaty," a senior state official told AFP.  The row over the Baglihar Dam has been an irritant in the ongoing peace process between the South Asian nuclear rivals who have fought three wars, two over the disputed region of Kashmir which both hold in part but claim in full.  The announcement by the World Bank came Tuesday after the two countries ended three days of talks in the eastern Pakistani city of Lahore with no accord on the Baglihar dam.

 

But Jamaat Ali Shah, head of the Pakistani team, said the dam's design would be "further discussed in New Delhi" at the end of May.  Pakistan says it never approved the project's design as stipulated under the Indus Water Treaty and raised the issue with the World Bank which brokered the agreement.  The World Bank named a Swiss national, Raymond Lafitee, as a neutral expert to "address differences" over the project between India and Pakistan, the Bank's website said Tuesday. Lafitte is a civil engineer and professor at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne.

 

"(Lafitte) will be asked to make a finding on a 'difference' between the two governments concerning the construction of the Baglihar project," it said.  "Both India and Pakistan have found Professor Lafitte suitably qualified as a Neutral Expert. His findings will be made known in time. Under the terms of the Indus Waters Treaty, his determination will be final and binding."  The treaty bars India from interfering with the flow of the three rivers feeding Pakistan -- the Indus, the Chenab and the Jhelum -- but allows it to generate electricity from them.

 

The treaty is one of the South Asian neighbors' most enduring agreements and has survived the wars between them.  Kashmiri power authorities insist the project, on which work began in April 1999 and is due to be completed next year, will not store water and thereby cut off the flow to Pakistan.   "We have not violated the treaty. We are following it religiously," says Kashmir's power minister Mohammed Sharief Niaz.

 

Kashmir has the potential to generate 20,000 megawatts of power, but less than 10 percent of it has been exploited. Massive power theft has compounded the state's electricity woes with people refusing to pay power bills.  The two countries are also at odds over design of the three-phase 300-megawatt Kishanganga dam in north Kashmir which still is at the drawing board stage.

 

Pakistan says the design does not conform to the Indus Water Treaty but so far has not taken the disagreement to the World Bank. Media reports have quoted Indian officials as saying they may compromise on the dam's design if New Delhi cannot overcome Pakistan's objections.   Locals in Indian Kashmir have also opposed the construction of the dam, saying it will displace thousands of residents.

 

Kashmir Negotiation Simulation

Click here to access the Kashmir Negotiation Simulation prepared by the Public International Law & Policy Group.

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Kosovo

 

U.N. court in Kosovo sentences three former ethnic Albanian rebels for war crimes

Fisnik Abrashi, Associated Press, 5/12/05

 

A U.N.-run court in Kosovo convicted three former ethnic Albanian rebels Thursday for war crimes committed during the province's 1998-99 war, an official said.  The three were low-ranking members of the disbanded Kosovo Liberation Army, and were found guilty of being involved in the illegal arrest, beating, inhumane treatment and forced transfer of civilians in southern Kosovo, U.N. spokesman Neeraj Singh said.  Defendant Ejup Runjeva was sentenced to eight years, while Enver Axhami and Rrustem Dema each received six-year sentences, Singh said.

 

The victims, all ethnic Albanians, were thought by the rebels to have collaborated with Serbian authorities during Belgrade's 1998-99 crackdown on Kosovo's ethnic Albanian majority, according to authorities.  The court acquitted two other former rebels being tried for the same crimes, Singh said.

 

The case was the second in which the U.N.-run court convicted former ethnic Albanian rebels for war crimes committed in the province, which has been administered by the United Nations and NATO since June 1999.

 

Two years ago, a court in Pristina sentenced four former rebels _ including a commander of the guerrilla group _ to prison terms ranging from five to 17 years for ordering the illegal arrest, torture and killing of fellow ethnic Albanians suspected of collaborating with former Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic's regime.

 

NATO's Secretary General calls for political talks between Kosovo and Serbia

Fisnik Abrashi, Associated Press, 5/13/05

 

NATO's Secretary General called Friday on authorities in Kosovo and Serbia to start political talks on the future of the disputed U.N.-run province of Kosovo.  Jaap de Hoop Scheffer said that six years since the end of the war in Serbia, the former foes should be talking about more than just about technical matters.  He also called on Kosovo to improve the protection of Serb and other minorities, who live primarily in enclaves out o